The Prospects of a Palestinian
and National Interests of the United States
THE STRATEGIC GOAL
The post-9/11 world has highlighted the fact that the primary feature
of anti-US Islamic terrorism is StateSponsorship (in the Middle
East and beyond), rather than merely a law enforcement challenge
(in the US). The strategic goal of the US and Israel is to defeat
terrorism and stabilize the Middle East, which is inconsistent with
the establishment of a new terror-supporting regime on the shores
of the Mediterranean.
I. THE ROOT CAUSE OF ANTI-US AND MIDEAST TERRORISM
The establishment of a Palestinian State will not bring down Middle
East terrorism in general and anti-US terrorism in particular. The
Palestinian issue has not been the root cause of the Arab-Israeli
conflict. Regardless of the Palestinian issue, of Israel's policy
and Israel's existence, the following factors should be considered
concerning anti-US Islamic terrorism:
Throughout history, inter-Muslim and inter-Arab politics have been
a combination of terrorism, political violence, violation of agreements,
dictatorships and suppression of human rights. Those who resort
to terrorism against domestic rivals are expected to employ terrorism
against foreign ones.
Iran, Iraq and Syria consider the US as the chief obstacle on the
way of realizing their megalomaniac ambitions: control of the Persian
Gulf, takeover of Saudi Arabia and Kuwait oil fields, occupation
of territories in Turkey and Jordan, acquiring nuclear, chemical
and biological capabilities, etc.
The US represents the bastion of ideas that threaten the dictatorships
of the Middle East: Free Market, Freedom of Religion, Freedom of
Anti-US Muslim forces have targeted Israel as a Jewish State, as
well as "the Little Satan" that serves as the outpost
of "the Big Satan", advancing US interests and values
in the Middle East, deterring
radical regimes in the Middle East. In fact, an Israel-like outpost
in the Persian Gulf would eliminate the need to deploy hundreds
of thousands of American troops and spend billions of dollars in
order to protect US interests.
Islamic terrorism has targeted the US regardless of Israeli concessions
and independent of US pressure on Israel (1993 Twin Towers, 1995/6
Saudi Arabia, 1998 Kenya and Tanzania, 2000 Aden).
Islamic terrorism has targeted the US in spite of the fact that
six times in the last decade the US went in harm's way in defense
of Muslims in Kuwait, Northern Iraq (Kurds), Somalia, Bosnia and
II. THE PALESTINIAN ISSUE IS NOT THE
ROOT CAUSE OF THE ARAB-ISRAELI CONFLICT AND MIDDLE EAST VIOLENCE
The 1948 war was launched by the Palestinians, and then joined
by Arab countries due to Arab ambitions and at the expense of
Palestinian interests. The 1956, 1967 and 1973 wars were launched
irrespective of the Palestinian issue. The 1982 Israel war on PLO
terrorism in Lebanon, the 1987-92 intifada and the current 1993-2004
war between Israel and Palestinian terrorism have not evolved into
Arab-Israeli wars, because Arabs do not shed blood or expend significant
financial resources for Palestinians; Arabs shower Palestinians
Since the seventh century, the Middle East has been torn by inter-Arab
and inter-Muslim conflicts, unrelated to Israel's existence, to
Israel's policies, or to the Arab-Israeli and Palestinian-Israeli
conflicts. The Sunni v. Shi'a, religious v. secular, rich v. poor,
Iraq v. Iran, Syria v. Iraq and the Saudi v. Yemen conflicts, as
well as internal strife in Iran, Egypt, Jordan and other Arab countries,
have produced much more violence, instability and damage to US interests,
than the Arab-Israeli and Palestinian-Israeli conflicts.
III. THE PLO/PA ARE NOT A TOP ARAB PRIORITY
Arab leaders have not marshaled their resources on behalf of the
PA during the current war between Israel and PA/Hamas terrorism.
The Arab league pledged some $2 billion in assistance, but forwarded
about $200 million. The Saudis do not transfer assistance through
the PA, but rather through Hamas and private organizations.
Arab leaders did not come to the rescue of the PLO during the 1982
Israeli assault on PLO terror bases in Lebanon. Saudi financial
assistance to the PLO (until the 1990 PLO collaboration with Iraq's
invasion of Kuwait) was $100 million annually, while their assistance
to the anti-Soviet forces in Afghanistan was a $1 billion annually.
Rhetorically, Arab leaders have always identified with PLO/PA's
claims to sovereignty. However, in practice, Arab leaders have been
aware of the treacherous nature of the PLO/PA, and therefore have
preferred to keep the PLO/PA under control, thus refraining from
active support of PLO/PA aspirations for independence.
IV. THE PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY (PA) INTENSIFIES
The Palestinian Authority was established in 1993 by Palestinian
terrorists headquartered until then in Tunisia and terrorist camps
in Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Jordan and Sudan. The establishment
of the Palestinian Authority was perceived by terrorists as a reward
to a systematic campaign of terrorism and intimidation against Israel,
the role-model of counter-terrorism. Thus the Palestinian Authority
has bolstered the forces of regional and global terrorism.
254 Israelis were murdered by Palestinian terrorists in the 15
years PRIOR to the establishment of the Palestinian Authority. 1,400
Israelis were murdered by Palestinian terrorists in the 10 years
SINCE the establishment of the Palestinian Authority. Proportionally,
the number of Israelis murdered since the establishment of the Palestinian
Authority, would be equal to 70,000 Americans (23 World Trade Centers).
The Palestinian Authority has become the largest and most (diplomatically)
protected anti-US terrorist base.
The Palestinian Authority was established in 1993 by the Oslo Accord
and supported by the Wye Accord and the Road Map. The most intense
wave of anti-US terrorism has been conducted since 1993, culminating
Never has a political process (from Oslo Process to the Road Map)
produced as much terrorism, bringing the participants closer to
war and further from peace, as has the process that centered on
the establishment of the Palestinian Authority and aimed at the
establishment of a Palestinian State.
Recent history (since 1968) suggests that the broader the authority
of the PLO/PA, the more intense is terrorism. International terrorism
intensified during the 1968-70 PLO autonomy/independence in Jordan,
and plummeted upon PLO's expulsion from Jordan. Terrorism subsided
in 1991/2 when the PLO was increasingly constrained in Tunisia,
but was enormously exacerbated upon the establishment of the Palestinian
Authority in 1993. The upgrading of the Palestinian Authority to
the status of a State would drastically escalate terrorism.
V. THE PA UNDERMINES U.S. INTERESTS AND VALUES
Since the demise of the USSR, the US has faced the following threats
stemming from Middle East: Islamic terrorism, ballistic missiles
and non-conventional military systems, Iran, Iraq (until the destruction
of Saddam's regime) and other rogue regimes such as Syria.
The Palestinian Authority and its source of power, the PLO
have been traditional strategic allies of Osama Bin-Laden, Saddam,
Khomeini and his successors and other rogue regimes in the Middle
East and beyond. The ideological mentors of the PA were the allies
of the Nazis (Haj Amin Al Husseini) and the Communist regimes of
the USSR and East Europe. Arafat himself was trained by the KGB.
PA leadership openly rejoiced at the WTC bombing. Conversely, the
capture of Saddam Hussein was met with gloom and anti-US demonstrations.
A central square in Jenin was named after Ali Jafar Al Na'amani,
the Iraqi homicide-bomber who murdered four US Marines in Najaf
on March 29, 2003. A typical anti-US sermon was given on January
2, 2004, by PA clerics, at the Al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem, condemning
"the modern-day Tatars, the Big Satan, which has destroyed
Baghdad." The sermon was broadcast live by PA TV and radio,
and urged Moslems to launch a Holy War against the US.
Three US attaches were murdered by PA-sponsored terrorists on October
15, 2003 upon entering the Gaza Strip in a diplomatic convoy. More
US citizens, visiting or residing in Israel were murdered by Palestinian
terrorists, including Leon Klinghoffer (SS Achille Lauro), and the
US ambassador to Sudan and his deputy, murdered by Arafat's terrorists
in 1972. Unlike the Taliban, the PA has never faced an ultimatum
of handing over the terrorists or be destroyed.
Rather than combating terrorism, the PA has harbored and ran the
largest terrorist base in the world. Every territory conceded by
Israel has become a safe haven for terrorists. The PA has become
a breeding ground and a test site for "modern-day terrorism",
such as suicide bombing and car bombing, which has been exported
to other arenas in the Middle East and beyond. Modern-day hijacking
was introduced by the PLO in the late '60s, and then was employed
by other terror organizations.
Official PA education, media and clergy systems have promoted anti-US
hate education, heralding Bin-Laden and Saddam and encouraging anti-US
The PA has become a role-model of suppression of (Palestinian)
The PA regime has caused an unprecedented flight of the Arab Christian
community in Bethlehem, Beit Jallah and Ramallah.
VI. THE TRACK RECORD OF THE PLO/PA
The PLO has been the role model of inter-Arab terrorism, treachery
and murderous violation of agreements.
In the late 1950s, Arafat, Abu Mazen, Abu Ala' and other leaders
of Fatah fled Egypt due to subversive activities.
In 1966, they fled Syria which provided Fatah with logistic infra-structure
after executing a number of Syrian intelligence officers.
In 1970, the PLO attempted to topple the Hashemite regime, which
provided them with a safe haven beginning since 1968.
In 1975, the PLO tried to topple Lebanon's government, and in the
process initiated a many-year civil war.
In 1990 (when the Bush/Baker team was pressuring Israel), the PLO
participated in Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, which had accorded the
PLO and Fatah diplomatic, financial and terrorist safe haven since
the late 1950s.
As a result of PLO's track record, no Arab regime allows PLO personnel
to bear arms on its soil, for fear of subversion.
The PA/PLO track record since 1993 has been consistent with PLO's
inter-Arab track record, and true to the axiom: Leopards don't change
spots; they change tactics.
VII. A THREAT OF PA TO AMERICAN SECURITY
Based on the aforementioned PLO/PA track record, one can expect
that the proposed Palestinian State will aggravate the damage caused
by the PA to US interests and values:
A Palestinian State will intensify international terrorism.
A Palestinian State will destroy the Hashemite regime a US ally
thus expanding the territory and bolstering the radical clout
of the Palestinian State.
A Palestinian State will provide Iran with an ally.
A Palestinian State will provide the pro-Saddam (or other radical)
elements in Iraq with another ally in the unpredictable and volatile
A Palestinian State will export terrorism into the Persian Gulf,
threatening the survival of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Bahrain,
A Palestinian State will become an outpost for anti-US regimes
in the Middle East and beyond.
A Palestinian State will transform Israel from a power-projecting
strategic asset of the US into an assistance-requiring strategic
liability. Without the mountain ridges of Judea & Samaria, Israel
will lose its power of deterrence, which has kept radical regimes
at bay and served to bolster the security of pro-US weak Arab regimes
With a 9- to 15-mile-wide 1949 border without the mountain ridges
of Judea & Samaria Israel will lose a vital military surveillance
platform, which has provided the US with important intelligence.
Israel's posture of deterrence has spared the US the need to deploy
a large military force in the eastern part of the Mediterranean.
It will require the US to stretch its forces beyond current capabilities,
while these forces are needed in Iraq, Afghanistan, Burma, etc.
VIII. STOPPING PALESTINIAN TERRORISM
PA/PLO terrorism was triggered in 1994 by sweeping Israeli concessions,
and by the the PLO status being raised from an increasingly irrelevant
organization in Tunisia to an autonomous entity in Gaza, Judea &
In the ten years since its establishment, the Palestinian Authority
has signed and promptly violated scores of agreements. They
have demonstrated that there is no political solution with the
PA. The only effective solution to terrorism is military, as
has been demonstrated by the US (vs. Iraq and Afghanistan), Turkey
(PKK), Germany (Baader Meinhoff), Italy (Red Brigades), France (Action
Direct), Egypt (Muslim Brotherhood), etc.
Israel should follow the US leadership in the global war on terrorism,
adopting US tactics in its wars against the Taliban and Saddam regimes:
prime responsibility of a leader is the security of his own people,
rather than the prestige in the eyes of the UN, West Europe or
other parts of the globe. A nation does not subcontract defense
against terrorists to a third party (let alone to a terrorist
authority), does not complain about terrorism, but rather launches
an offensive against terrorism. Would the US consider entrusting
anti-terrorist activities to Saddam or to the Taliban?!
clarity suggests that terrorists are not partners to negotiation,
but rather enemies to be crashed. Members of the Saddam regime
were not "president", "prime minister", "national
security advisor" or "legislator." They were "terrorists",
"liars", "cancerous elements".
can be no negotiation with a regime
that has systematically and violently violated every agreement.
of a compromise or a ceasefire, the aim should be the destruction
of the infrastructure that feeds the fire of terrorism.
of defensive, deterrent, retaliatory or containment tactics, we
should employ offensive, pre-emption and prevention
on the enemy's own ground.
of low-intensity war, we should conduct a swift and comprehensive
political, ideological and financial echelons that constitute
the key terrorist elements are to be eliminated,
just like the initial bombing in the 2003 war on Iraq targeted
the political leaders of Saddam's regime.
MacArthur barred all Japanese connected to the Hirohito
regime from participation in Japan's political, educational and
business systems, locally and nationally.
Paul Bremer is following in McArthur's footsteps,
excluding Ba'ath Party members from participation in the rebuilding
of New Iraq. Israel should adopt the same attitude
toward the Palestinian rogue terrorist regime, the Palestinian
Authority. The problem has never been a personal one (Arafat);
it has always been organizational and systemic (the PA).
STAGE 1: REMOVING THE TERROR REGIME OF PA
Co-existence between Israelis and Palestinians requires the dismantling
of the morally illegitimate PA. The effective dismantling of the
PA requires the destruction - via war on terrorism - of the infrastructure
established by the 60,000 terrorists, imported since Oslo from Tunisia,
Iraq, Yemen, Lebanon, Sudan, Syria and Jordan.
The removal of PA's despotic regime would enable moderate Palestinians
to assert themselves. The dismantling of the PA is a precondition
for the democratization and pacification of the Palestinian society,
following ten years of damage caused by the PA, and in defiance
of the non-democratic and non-pacified Arab Middle East (with scores
of inter-Arab conflicts and not a single democratic regime).
The democratization and the pacification of the Middle East can
be secured primarily by deterrence. The bolstering of Israel's posture
of deterrence - which requires Israel's military control of the
40-mile-stretch between the Mediterranean and the Jordan River -
is a prerequisite for stability, for the defeat of Palestinian terrorism,
and for the prevention of the establishment of a Palestinian terrorist
IX. A 3-D VISION OF PEACE
The track-record of Palestinian Authority proved that it is not
willing to implement the requirements of either the Road Map or
any other peace plan. Therefore Israel has to make unilateral steps
to build basis for Peace.
These steps should not amount to a unilateral withdrawal: as was
the case with the unilateral withdrawal of Israel from Lebanon,
a unilateral withdrawal from Gaza, Judea and Samaria will be interpreted
by terrorists as their major victory and will bolster terror against
Israel, US and the West in general.
Israel's unilateral steps should secure establishment of three
basic pre-requisites for peace and stability in the Middle East:
Deterrent capability of Israel.
Democracy for Palestinians.
nature of the Middle East, the most violent region in the
world (no inter-Arab comprehensive peace during the last 13 centuries!),
the nature of regional topography and geography (Israel's
vulnerable narrow waistline and the dangerous topography of Judea
& Samaria mountain ridges), the track record of the last
100 years (the sustained campaign of war and terror aimed
at eradicating the Jewish State), and the resulting security
requirements, determine that Israel's deterrent capability
control of the area from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean
(40 miles) is essential to the regional security.
for Palestinians. Israel is facing a unique enemy (the
PA) that idolizes suicide bombing through its formal education,
media and clergy systems. The PA has had anti-Jewish, anti-Israel
and anti-US hate education (K-12) in place since 1994. It
has corrupted the minds of Palestinians, especially the youth for
the next one or even two generations. Palestinians have to be freed
from a tyrannical corrupt regime of PA that brings death both to
Jews and Arabs. An open-ended transitional period for building a
basis for democracy, during which education and propaganda systems
of PA should go through a major overhaul, is a prerequisite for
building genuine peace in the region.
Peace. The true and lasting peace has to be built on
these facts, rather than on the false paradigm of
"Land for Peace" that demands of the only democracy of
the region, Israel, to provide the only thing that it lacks territory
to its much larger totalitarian enemies. In exchange, these dictatorial
regimes promise toprovide the one and only thing that they lack:
peace. Peace between Israelis and Palestinians should be built in
a modular fashion it has to take firm hold on the ground, become
a fact of life for an extended period of time, and then it will
translate into a signed agreement, not vice versa.
STAGE 1: DEMILITARISATION
The core of PLO/PA's deceitful scheme consists in
operating two branches that set each other into motion: the political
arm and the terrorist arm. Any political action that comes out of
terror invites additional terror, and provides justification and
motivation for the "two-piston engine" the political
and the terrorist.
Therefore, co-existence between Israelis and Palestinians
requires dismantling of the terror structure of PA. It requires
the destruction of all terror groups Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Al
Aksa Brigades, Tanzim, etc. flourishing under the protection of
PA, and disarming of all the so-called "security services of
PA", which are in effect "legalized" terror groups,
armed under the Oslo accords to fight terror, but instead using
these weapons for terror attacks, racket, rape and suppression of
Moderate Palestinians will assert themselves when terror
groups and the armed apparatus of PA's despotic regime would be
removed. Palestinians will realize that terror and violence
will always bring them less than was offered them before they chose
terror. Every Palestinian youth, a potential shahid, a suicide bomber,
in Gaza and Ramallah will see that the terrorist war has ended in
a defeat and the responsibility lies with the terror's leaders.
The dismantling of the security apparatus of PA is a precondition
for the democratization and pacification of the Palestinian
society, following ten years of damage caused by the PA. The dismantling
has to be done regardless of the reaction from the non democratic
and non-pacified Arab Middle East that has scores of inter-Arab
conflicts and not a single democratic regime.
STAGE 2: DEMOCRACY
Palestinian human rights and democracy are preconditioned upon the
removal of the terrorist, tyrannical and corrupt PA regime, whose
primary victims have been ordinary Palestinians.
The Palestinians seek security and comfort just like any other
people. However, with PA regime imposed on them, lawlessness and
violence have become a way of life on territories under PA rule.
Presently these territories enter the state of chaos and civil
war among clans, gangs and terror groups who control different areas
of West Bank and Gaza.
Democratization and pacification are not attained via rhetoric
and declaration of intent. The transformation of a rogue society
into a democratic and peace-loving society is reflected through
an intense overhaul of the education, legal, political, media,
civil service, business and clergy systems. The transformation
process must feature a drastic change of personnel, excluding
the members of the rogue regime at all levels. The transformation
must be proven over a long period of time, overcoming ideological,
political and physical challenges from within and from without.
The transformed political institutions, education system, the courts,
the civil service and financial system and other institutions must
demonstrate their departure from the jihadist norms of the PA
and their adaptation of democratic norms.
Following the removal of the PA, day-to-day activities of Palestinian
Arabs will be managed by regional autonomous councils. The regional
councils will be assisted by Israel, as well as by outside entities,
such as the US, Jordan and other member countries and organizations
of the International Coordination Body (ICB).
Local Palestinians, with the assistance of Israel and members of
the ICB, will elect representatives to the regional councils. No
candidate shall be elected who was directly or indirectly involved
in PA's activities, which directed, financed, incited, organized
or carried out acts of terrorism.
Israel shall invite representatives of the ICB to observe and
facilitate free democratic elections to the regional councils;
preservation, upgrading and democratization of civil institutions;
restoration and preservation of Palestinian human rights: women's
rights, children's rights; eradication of torture and corruption.
STAGE 3: DE-FACTO
Once the long-term democratization and pacification stage is attained,
then the road is clear to a political solution between Israel and
the Palestinian Arab residents of Judea & Samaria and Gaza.
Proposed solutions should consider the lessons of the past 10 years,
the unpredictable and violent nature of the Middle East, the threatening
topography of the mountain ridges of Judea & Samaria and the
vulnerability of Israel's narrow waistline (which is comparable
to the length of the Dallas-Ft. Worth airport).
All plans partitioning the area between the Mediterranean and the
Jordan River (from the 1937 Peal Commission, through Oslo, the 2000
Camp David and the Road Map), have radicalized Arab and Palestinian
anti-Israel policies, destabilizing the region, producing unprecedented
terrorism and bloodshed, undermining US interests and distancing
Jews and Arabs from peace.
The State of Israel from Mediterranean to Jordan River (only 22,700
sq.km., smaller than New Jersey) is one of the most densely populated
countries in the world, with scarce natural resources. This tiny
area therefore cannot physically accommodate two independent states,
Jewish and Arab.
The area between the Mediterranean and the Jordan River accounts
for less than 1% of the land possessed by Arab countries.
Additional attempts to partition this area would amount to another
costly victory of wishful thinking over experience. As the old saw
says, "Fool me once shame on you; fool me twice shame on
The largest Palestinian community resides in Jordan, constituting
over 70% of the population, commerce and banking and at least 50%
of Jordan's government and military. One People is entitled to only
One State. What the international community is pushing for is a
Palestinian people have the natural right to strive for the unification
of their nation and for being citizens of one state. However, with
Palestinian people divided (1/3 in the Judea, Samaria and Gaza,
2/3 in Jordan, Israel and elsewhere), and the Oslo agreements en-compassing
only 1/3 of Palestinian people, they will strive for unification
even after (or even more so) the creation of a Palestinian State
west of Jordan (family and tribal ties of Palestinians extend across
the Jordan River), thus destabilizing Jordan, Lebanon and the entire
The Jordan River is the only natural border between the Jewish
State of Israel and the Palestinian Arab State. Only this natural
rift could assure a viable fence between the neighbors.
While the Palestinian residents of Judea & Samaria and Gaza
will administer their own local affairs (legal, financial, municipal,
law-enforcement, issuing ID cards, etc.) Israel shall retain all
security and external relations authority, lest it repeat the grave
terror-producing errors of Oslo.
Democratization and pacification would enable Israel to remove
road blocks, to end closure, to open the labor market (for Palestinians)
and to expand, significantly, the transportation, communications
and utilities infrastructure in Judea & Samaria and Gaza for
the benefit of Palestinians and Jews residing there.
X. THE PALESTINIAN/JEWISH REFUGEES RESETTLEMENT
REGIONAL COOPERATION PROJECT
The Refugees Resettlement Project will be launched by members
of the International Cooperation Board, with the active involvement
by Jordan, Egypt, Syria and Lebanon.
The project will follow in the footsteps of similar projects, which
have resettled almost all 100 million refugees, throughout the globe,
since 1945. It will commit itself to a factual account of Jewish
and Palestinian Arab refugees, of the origin and the number of Palestinian
refugees and of the circumstances, which produced their misery.
The project will involve a multi-billion dollar investment in Jordan,
Egypt (especially in Sinai, which is contiguous to Gaza), Syria
and Lebanon, in order to resettle the refugees.
Nearly 70% of Americans Say "NO" to
Palestinian Arab State
The Zionist Organization of America conducted a poll, querying
1,000 Americans throughout the United States. The poll carried out
by the firm of McLaughlin & Associates in mid-January of 2004
BY 67% TO 19%, AMERICANS OPPOSE GIVING THE PALESTINIAN ARABS
A STATE: 67.4% of Americans say that the Palestinian Arabs have
not met President Bush's conditions for statehood, such as fighting
terrorism, halting incitement to murder, and respecting human rights.
Only 19.3% say they have met those conditions.
BY 66% TO 17%, AMERICANS OPPOSE EXPELLING JEWS FROM THE TERRITORIES:
66.6% of Americans disagree with the Arab position that all Jewish
residents of the Judea-Samaria-Gaza territories should be expelled;
only 17% agree with that demand.
BY 65% TO 18%, AMERICANS SAY PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY CAN'T BE TRUSTED:
65.2% of Americans say the Palestinian Authority "cannot be
trusted to fulfill peace agreements that it signs with Israel";
only 18.6% say it can be trusted to fulfill them.
BY 55% TO 21%, AMERICANS SAY PALESTINIAN ARABS SEEK DESTRUCTION
OF ISRAEL: 55.7% of Americans say that the Palestinian Arabs' goal
is "the eventual destruction of Israel"; only 21.3% say
their goal is "to have a small state living in peace alongside
BY 73% TO 15%, AMERICANS OPPOSE U.S. AID TO THE PALESTINIAN ARABS:
73.6% say the U.S. should stop sending $200-million each year to
the Palestinian Arabs; only 15% say the aid should continue.